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David Merkel's avatar

One thing to consider: India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia are all below replacement rate.

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Polymath Investor's avatar

The info I saw on Saudi and Indonesia showed they were hovering just above it, i may have seen a dated number. But yeah, Africa probably is were 90% of the countries above replacement rate are...

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David Merkel's avatar

My figures are from the 2024 CIA Factbook. In order 2.03, 1.96, 1.79, and 1.87. I'm not perfectly happy with their statistics, they vary from what I read in other places... but I am planning on doing the seventh episode on my series on human fertility, and I have used their statistics from the beginning in 2010. I appreciated your article; it offered valuable advice.

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Polymath Investor's avatar

Thank you, David. I got those from the World Bank, but either way, the general trend is the same. I believe El Aleph is your blog? It seems that, besides population trends, we also share an interest in Jorge Luis Borges.

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